French election poll tracker

Now it is clear, France will decide between a centrist newcomer who has served as economy minister but has never before been elected and the leader of the far-right National Front (FN).

Emmanuel Macron is now favourite to win the presidency on 7 May, but FN leader Marine Le Pen has attracted a number of voters to her party.

Opinion polls taken since the first-round result suggest he will win at least 60% of the vote, but a significant number of voters are undecided after the first round.

The poll tracker begins with surveys taken between early January and the 23 April vote, before there were two clear candidates.

60.00%

Emmanuel Macron

40.00%

Marine Le Pen

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Last updated April 24, 2017

*Polling results up to this date show how people said they would vote before the final two candidates were known

The polling average line looks at the five most recent national polls and takes the median value, ie, the value between the two figures that are higher and two figures that are lower.

Voting patterns

Analysis of voting patterns in the 23 April first round shows Marine Le Pen gained most votes in the north-east and south-east of the country, which have traditionally seen strongest support for the National Front.

Emmanuel Macron gained most support from more westerly areas, and he also fared well in parts of Paris.

Campaign issues

One of the overriding issues facing French voters is unemployment, which stands at almost 10%. One in four under-25s is unemployed.

Latest EU figures show France has the seventh highest unemployment rate of all member states, 2% higher than the EU average.

The French economy has made a slow recovery from the 2008 financial crisis and all the candidates said deep changes were needed.

Security and immigration are also high on the agenda.

France is still in a state of emergency after the terror attack on Nice on 14 July 2016 when a lorry ploughed into a crowd celebrating Bastille Day.

More than 230 people have died in terror attacks in France since January 2015 and the murder of a policeman on the Champs Elysées three days before the first round was a deadly reminder of the threat from militant Islamists.

Officials fear more of the hundreds of young French Muslims who have travelled to Syria and Iraq may return to commit further atrocities.



Article source : Business Original Page